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Forecast Scorecard

Honest walk-forward backtest across the top 20 crypto assets. Each model is scored only on data it never saw — horizon 7 sync periods. No look-ahead bias.

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Overall directional accuracy
46.3%
Best model (aggregate)
Mean Reversion
Assets evaluated
20 / 20
Total forecast samples
37,200

Composite rankings

0–100 predictive score per asset — technical accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.

AssetScoreGradeTechnicalMomentumConfidenceDirection
USDTTether75.4B1005076.2flat
USDSUSDS66.8B99.550.150.8flat
ETHEthereum63.9C51.359.880.6up
ZECZcash62.1C48.757.580.1down
USDCUSDC60.6C1005031.8flat
BTCBitcoin60C51.153.575.4flat
RAINRain58.7C47.646.981.6up
WBTWhiteBIT Coin57C50.354.766up
ADACardano53.2C48.462.748.6up
TRXTRON53C43.35164.8up
XRPXRP49.3D45.75646.2up
HYPEHyperliquid49.2D53.548.445.6up
SOLSolana48.8D4751.847.6up
BNBBNB47.4D48.153.740.3down
XMRMonero42.9D49.749.229.7up
FIGR_HELOCFigure Heloc42.2D55.465.26down
XLMStellar41.2D505419.6up
DOGEDogecoin36.5D51.158.10.2down
LEOLEO Token34.9F41.452.610.8down

Model comparison

Pooled walk-forward metrics across all evaluated assets. Ranked by directional accuracy; lower MAPE breaks ties.

ModelDirectional Acc.MAPEAssetsSamples
🏆 Mean Reversion53.1%1.03%207440
Momentum52.9%1.23%207440
Linear Regression52.2%2.18%207440
EMA Trend50.8%0.98%207440
Naive (baseline)22.4%0.81%207440

Score history

Daily composite score snapshots — tracks walk-forward accuracy + momentum blend over time. Export CSV ↓

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Asset performers

Best-model accuracy · 7-period horizon

Top performers

Highest hit rate

Best model per asset shown on the coin detail page.

Weakest fits

Lowest hit rate

Best model per asset shown on the coin detail page.