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Usual USDUSD0
Current Price
$0.998675
24h Change
+0.02%
Forecast
▬ FLAT→ $0.998533
Forecast Confidence
1%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — USD0
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected FLAT over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)1% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.01% last hour
- 24h momentum+0.02% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-24.7% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.06% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
50.2C
Technical
99.7
Momentum
50.1
Confidence
0.8
Asset narrative
- USD0 +0.02% over the last 24h
- USD0 +0.01% over 7 days
- Forecast: sideways / flat
- 24h volume $364,599
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 329 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 99.7% | 0.02% | 318 |
| Naive (baseline) | 99.4% | 0.01% | 318 |
| Momentum | 99.1% | 0.02% | 318 |
| EMA Trend | 97.5% | 0.02% | 318 |
| Mean Reversion | 95.6% | 0.01% | 318 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| down | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| flat | 1 | 0 | 316 |