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StableSTABLE
Current Price
$0.038333
24h Change
+0.85%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $0.036783
Forecast Confidence
3%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — STABLE
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)3% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.64% last hour
- 24h momentum+0.85% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-10.4% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±1.00% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
39.5D
Technical
61.2
Momentum
54.3
Confidence
3.1
Asset narrative
- STABLE +0.85% over the last 24h
- STABLE +8.49% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 3% confidence
- 24h volume $11.5M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 500 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 61.2% | 2.41% | 489 |
| Mean Reversion | 58.1% | 1.77% | 489 |
| Momentum | 39.1% | 2.60% | 489 |
| EMA Trend | 37.0% | 2.02% | 489 |
| Naive (baseline) | 2.5% | 1.59% | 489 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 171 | 95 | 5 |
| down | 74 | 128 | 7 |
| flat | 5 | 4 | 0 |