Loading details…
RenderRENDER
Current Price
$1.62
24h Change
+6.37%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $1.53
Forecast Confidence
11%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — RENDER
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)11% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+2.51% last hour
- 24h momentum+6.37% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-88.1% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.74% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
45.4D
Technical
43.4
Momentum
81.9
Confidence
10.8
Asset narrative
- RENDER (Render) — sector: AI
- RENDER +6.37% over the last 24h
- RENDER +3.79% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 11% confidence
- 24h volume $48.2M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 163 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 EMA Trend | 43.4% | 1.55% | 152 |
| Linear Regression | 42.8% | 2.42% | 152 |
| Momentum | 42.1% | 1.86% | 152 |
| Mean Reversion | 35.5% | 1.76% | 152 |
| Naive (baseline) | 13.8% | 1.29% | 152 |
Confusion matrix · EMA Trend (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 32 | 30 | 8 |
| down | 30 | 34 | 13 |
| flat | 5 | 0 | 0 |