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Pump.funPUMP
Current Price
$0.001436
24h Change
-1.18%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $0.001564
Forecast Confidence
19%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — PUMP
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)19% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+1.68% last hour
- 24h momentum-1.18% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-83.7% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±1.14% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
39.5D
Technical
55.1
Momentum
44.1
Confidence
19.4
Asset narrative
- PUMP -1.18% over the last 24h
- PUMP -9.21% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 19% confidence
- 24h volume $24.5M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 399 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 55.1% | 5.26% | 388 |
| Mean Reversion | 54.1% | 2.59% | 388 |
| EMA Trend | 40.5% | 2.80% | 388 |
| Momentum | 40.5% | 3.48% | 388 |
| Naive (baseline) | 1.3% | 2.21% | 388 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 167 | 140 | 4 |
| down | 29 | 47 | 1 |
| flat | 0 | 0 | 0 |