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StableSTABLE
Current Price
$0.036757
24h Change
+4.39%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $0.034464
Forecast Confidence
27%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — STABLE
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)27% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.13% last hour
- 24h momentum+4.39% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-13.9% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.88% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
50.7C
Technical
52.8
Momentum
71.9
Confidence
27.5
Asset narrative
- STABLE +4.39% over the last 24h
- STABLE +7.52% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 27% confidence
- 24h volume $15.4M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 403 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Mean Reversion | 52.8% | 1.87% | 392 |
| Linear Regression | 50.5% | 3.22% | 392 |
| Momentum | 44.9% | 2.47% | 392 |
| EMA Trend | 42.1% | 1.93% | 392 |
| Naive (baseline) | 2.3% | 1.60% | 392 |
Confusion matrix · Mean Reversion (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 100 | 79 | 5 |
| down | 88 | 107 | 4 |
| flat | 7 | 2 | 0 |