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Pump.funPUMP
Current Price
$0.001484
24h Change
+5.40%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $0.001556
Forecast Confidence
17%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — PUMP
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)17% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum-0.88% last hour
- 24h momentum+5.40% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-83.2% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±1.11% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
50C
Technical
56.4
Momentum
77
Confidence
16.5
Asset narrative
- PUMP +5.40% over the last 24h
- PUMP -10.01% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 17% confidence
- 24h volume $38.0M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 412 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 56.4% | 5.32% | 401 |
| Mean Reversion | 53.1% | 2.63% | 401 |
| EMA Trend | 41.6% | 2.78% | 401 |
| Momentum | 41.4% | 3.44% | 401 |
| Naive (baseline) | 1.3% | 2.22% | 401 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 179 | 141 | 4 |
| down | 29 | 47 | 1 |
| flat | 0 | 0 | 0 |