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Pi NetworkPI
Current Price
$0.127829
24h Change
-0.15%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $0.129993
Forecast Confidence
56%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — PI
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)56% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum-1.27% last hour
- 24h momentum-0.15% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-95.7% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.47% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
56.5C
Technical
64.4
Momentum
49.3
Confidence
55.8
Asset narrative
- PI -0.15% over the last 24h
- PI -5.23% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 56% confidence
- 24h volume $9.2M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 56 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Mean Reversion | 64.4% | 0.75% | 45 |
| Linear Regression | 60.0% | 0.83% | 45 |
| EMA Trend | 33.3% | 1.10% | 45 |
| Momentum | 24.4% | 1.45% | 45 |
| Naive (baseline) | 8.9% | 0.85% | 45 |
Confusion matrix · Mean Reversion (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| down | 10 | 17 | 3 |
| flat | 3 | 0 | 1 |