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LABLAB
Current Price
$17.68
24h Change
-10.90%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $16.68
Forecast Confidence
38%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — LAB
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)38% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+3.15% last hour
- 24h momentum-10.90% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-35.3% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±3.04% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
32.8F
Technical
60.9
Momentum
0
Confidence
37.6
Asset narrative
- LAB -10.90% over the last 24h
- LAB +35.12% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 38% confidence
- 24h volume $36.8M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 57 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Mean Reversion | 60.9% | 6.90% | 46 |
| Linear Regression | 54.4% | 7.35% | 46 |
| Momentum | 39.1% | 9.26% | 46 |
| EMA Trend | 37.0% | 7.97% | 46 |
| Naive (baseline) | 0.0% | 6.16% | 46 |
Confusion matrix · Mean Reversion (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| down | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| flat | 1 | 1 | 0 |