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KuCoinKCS
Current Price
$7.06
24h Change
-1.99%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $7.21
Forecast Confidence
67%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — KCS
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)67% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.11% last hour
- 24h momentum-1.99% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-75.5% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.50% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
53.3C
Technical
52.8
Momentum
40
Confidence
67.2
Asset narrative
- KCS -1.99% over the last 24h
- KCS +1.89% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 67% confidence
- 24h volume $2.9M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 276 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 52.8% | 1.51% | 265 |
| Mean Reversion | 50.2% | 1.11% | 265 |
| EMA Trend | 37.4% | 1.10% | 265 |
| Momentum | 37.4% | 1.39% | 265 |
| Naive (baseline) | 6.0% | 0.89% | 265 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 77 | 50 | 12 |
| down | 57 | 63 | 4 |
| flat | 1 | 1 | 0 |