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KaspaKAS
Current Price
$0.029512
24h Change
-1.10%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $0.030503
Forecast Confidence
14%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — KAS
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)14% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.26% last hour
- 24h momentum-1.10% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-85.8% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.68% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
35.4D
Technical
47.6
Momentum
44.5
Confidence
14.1
Asset narrative
- KAS -1.10% over the last 24h
- KAS -5.32% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 14% confidence
- 24h volume $7.6M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 383 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Mean Reversion | 47.6% | 1.29% | 372 |
| Momentum | 43.3% | 1.68% | 372 |
| Linear Regression | 42.5% | 3.49% | 372 |
| EMA Trend | 41.9% | 1.29% | 372 |
| Naive (baseline) | 4.0% | 1.08% | 372 |
Confusion matrix · Mean Reversion (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 89 | 92 | 8 |
| down | 75 | 87 | 6 |
| flat | 5 | 9 | 1 |