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Internet ComputerICP
Current Price
$2.29
24h Change
-2.26%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $2.26
Forecast Confidence
39%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — ICP
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)39% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum-0.35% last hour
- 24h momentum-2.26% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-99.7% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.70% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
41.5D
Technical
46.2
Momentum
38.7
Confidence
39.5
Asset narrative
- ICP (Internet Computer) — sector: Smart Contract L1
- ICP -2.26% over the last 24h
- ICP +2.40% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 39% confidence
- 24h volume $45.6M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 366 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Mean Reversion | 46.2% | 1.35% | 355 |
| Linear Regression | 45.4% | 1.91% | 355 |
| Momentum | 36.6% | 1.71% | 355 |
| EMA Trend | 34.9% | 1.42% | 355 |
| Naive (baseline) | 13.8% | 1.11% | 355 |
Confusion matrix · Mean Reversion (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 75 | 63 | 25 |
| down | 68 | 89 | 24 |
| flat | 6 | 5 | 0 |