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HTX DAOHTX
Current Price
$0.000002
24h Change
+0.50%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $0.000002
Forecast Confidence
0%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — HTX
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)0% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.08% last hour
- 24h momentum+0.50% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-55.1% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.46% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
35.3D
Technical
53.2
Momentum
52.5
Confidence
0.3
Asset narrative
- HTX +0.50% over the last 24h
- HTX -2.39% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 0% confidence
- 24h volume $52.4M
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 58 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Naive (baseline) | 53.2% | 0.32% | 47 |
| Mean Reversion | 38.3% | 0.30% | 47 |
| Linear Regression | 34.0% | 0.41% | 47 |
| Momentum | 31.9% | 0.63% | 47 |
| EMA Trend | 21.3% | 0.58% | 47 |
Confusion matrix · Naive (baseline) (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| down | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| flat | 10 | 12 | 25 |