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Provenance BlockchainHASH
Current Price
$0.009405
24h Change
+5.93%
Forecast
▲ UP→ $0.0099
Forecast Confidence
30%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — HASH
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected UP over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)30% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum-0.09% last hour
- 24h momentum+5.93% last 24h
- Distance from ATH-84.4% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±1.29% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
55.1C
Technical
55.6
Momentum
79.7
Confidence
30.1
Asset narrative
- HASH +5.93% over the last 24h
- HASH +6.30% over 7 days
- Forecast points UP · 30% confidence
- 24h volume $20,630
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 29 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Linear Regression | 55.6% | 3.65% | 18 |
| EMA Trend | 44.4% | 4.30% | 18 |
| Mean Reversion | 27.8% | 2.98% | 18 |
| Momentum | 22.2% | 5.57% | 18 |
| Naive (baseline) | 22.2% | 3.40% | 18 |
Confusion matrix · Linear Regression (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| down | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| flat | 0 | 1 | 0 |
⛓️ On-Chain
Total TVL
$74.1B-0.17%
Stablecoin MCap
$311.1B+0.04%
DEX Volume
$5.4B-16.13%
Chain relevance
Provenance$1.5B2.0% of global TVL