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Blockchain CapitalBCAP
Current Price
$106.20
24h Change
+0.00%
Forecast
▼ DOWN→ $106.02
Forecast Confidence
89%
Price & Forecast history forecast 95% band
Investable signals — BCAP
Composite ensemble (v1) and amplified Alpha++ (v2) for this asset. Not financial advice. Methodology
Why this forecast?
Transparent, model-grounded drivers — not a black box.
- Trend slope (linear regression)Projected DOWN over the horizon
- Fit quality (R²)89% of variance explained by the trend
- 1h momentum+0.00% last hour
- 24h momentum+0.00% last 24h
- Distance from ATH+0.0% vs all-time high
- Recent volatility±0.02% per period (std of returns)
Predictive scorecard
Composite 0–100 score from walk-forward accuracy, 24h momentum, and forecast confidence.
Total score
78.6B
Technical
97.1
Momentum
50
Confidence
88.7
Asset narrative
- BCAP +0.00% over the last 24h
- BCAP +363.10% over 7 days
- Forecast points DOWN · 89% confidence
Model Performance · Backtest
Walk-forward, out-of-sample over 500 points, horizon 7 periods. Honest evaluation — each model is scored only on data it never saw.
| Model | Directional Acc. | MAPE | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Naive (baseline) | 97.1% | 0.01% | 489 |
| Momentum | 94.3% | 0.02% | 489 |
| EMA Trend | 94.1% | 0.02% | 489 |
| Mean Reversion | 92.4% | 0.02% | 489 |
| Linear Regression | 23.3% | 0.12% | 489 |
Confusion matrix · Naive (baseline) (predicted vs actual)
| P \ A | up | down | flat |
|---|---|---|---|
| up | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| down | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| flat | 0 | 14 | 475 |